{"id":71353,"date":"2026-06-05T07:35:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-05T10:35:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/?p=71353"},"modified":"2026-06-05T07:35:20","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T10:35:20","slug":"ocde-advierte-sobre-impacto-de-la-guerra-en-la-economia-global","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/ocde-advierte-sobre-impacto-de-la-guerra-en-la-economia-global\/","title":{"rendered":"OCDE advierte sobre impacto de la guerra en la econom\u00eda global"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La Organizaci\u00f3n para la Cooperaci\u00f3n y el Desarrollo Econ\u00f3mico (OCDE) alert\u00f3 que una prolongaci\u00f3n del conflicto en Oriente Medio podr\u00eda afectar de forma significativa el <strong>crecimiento econ\u00f3mico mundial<\/strong> durante los pr\u00f3ximos dos a\u00f1os; elevando los riesgos de recesi\u00f3n en varias econom\u00edas y generando nuevas presiones sobre los precios de la energ\u00eda y los alimentos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En su m\u00e1s reciente informe de perspectivas econ\u00f3micas, la organizaci\u00f3n plantea un escenario adverso en el que el producto interior bruto (PIB) global crecer\u00eda apenas 2,1% en 2026 y 1,8% en 2027. Estas cifras contrastan con la expansi\u00f3n de 3,4% registrada en 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seg\u00fan la OCDE, uno de los principales factores de riesgo es la continuidad de las interrupciones en el estrecho de Ormuz; una ruta estrat\u00e9gica para el transporte mundial de petr\u00f3leo y gas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Energ\u00eda y fertilizantes bajo presi\u00f3n<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El secretario general de la OCDE, Mathias Cormann, explic\u00f3 que las perturbaciones energ\u00e9ticas podr\u00edan desacelerar el <strong>crecimiento econ\u00f3mico mundial<\/strong>; d ehcho, advierte que hasta niveles inferiores al 1% entre finales de 2026 y comienzos de 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La organizaci\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n expres\u00f3 preocupaci\u00f3n por el incremento de los precios de los fertilizantes; que han aumentado 47% desde el inicio del conflicto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>De mantenerse esta tendencia, los precios agr\u00edcolas podr\u00edan subir cerca de 8% el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o. En el caso del trigo, el incremento podr\u00eda alcanzar 13%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Asimismo, el economista jefe de la OCDE, Stefano Scarpetta, se\u00f1al\u00f3 que los pa\u00edses asi\u00e1ticos figuran entre los m\u00e1s expuestos al impacto energ\u00e9tico; mientras que varias naciones africanas enfrentan riesgos relacionados con el suministro de fertilizantes y la seguridad alimentaria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Escenario m\u00e1s favorable<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>La OCDE tambi\u00e9n contempla un escenario central basado en una resoluci\u00f3n r\u00e1pida del conflicto. Bajo esta hip\u00f3tesis, los precios de la energ\u00eda comenzar\u00edan a descender durante la segunda mitad de 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En ese contexto, la econom\u00eda mundial crecer\u00eda 2,8% en 2026 y 3,1% en 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La organizaci\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n destac\u00f3 que la expansi\u00f3n de las inversiones en inteligencia artificial y tecnolog\u00eda podr\u00eda contribuir a sostener parte del crecimiento global. Sin embargo, advirti\u00f3 que estos sectores tampoco est\u00e1n completamente aislados de los efectos derivados de una crisis energ\u00e9tica prolongada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>TodologisticaNEWS: Las principales noticias sobre puertos, log\u00edstica, transporte y comercio exterior<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"La Organizaci\u00f3n para la Cooperaci\u00f3n y el Desarrollo Econ\u00f3mico (OCDE) alert\u00f3 que una prolongaci\u00f3n del...","protected":false},"author":957,"featured_media":71368,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"episode_type":"audio","audio_file":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","filesize_raw":""},"categories":[10276],"tags":[214,100,145],"yst_prominent_words":[933,2863,3079,970,4334,830,674,961,649],"series":[],"episode_featured_image":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Banner_OCDE_05-06-2026.jpg","episode_player_image":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/LOGO-PODCAST.jpeg","download_link":"","player_link":"","audio_player":false,"episode_data":{"playerMode":"dark","subscribeUrls":{"apple_podcasts":{"key":"apple_podcasts","url":"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/uy\/podcast\/todologistica\/id1515118482","label":"Apple Podcasts","class":"apple_podcasts","icon":"apple-podcasts.png"},"google_podcasts":{"key":"google_podcasts","url":"","label":"Google Podcasts","class":"google_podcasts","icon":"google-podcasts.png"},"spotify":{"key":"spotify","url":"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/show\/10D0EeKwuNi9BrB6KSt4px?si=Tn0hRTGJQwW6HqtWKotEZg","label":"Spotify","class":"spotify","icon":"spotify.png"},"stitcher":{"key":"stitcher","url":"","label":"Stitcher","class":"stitcher","icon":"stitcher.png"},"ivoox":{"key":"ivoox","url":"","label":"iVoox","class":"ivoox","icon":"ivoox.png"}},"rssFeedUrl":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/feed\/podcast\/todologistica","embedCode":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"Y73S4Ex12W\"><a href=\"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/ocde-advierte-sobre-impacto-de-la-guerra-en-la-economia-global\/\">OCDE advierte sobre impacto de la guerra en la econom\u00eda global<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/ocde-advierte-sobre-impacto-de-la-guerra-en-la-economia-global\/embed\/#?secret=Y73S4Ex12W\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" title=\"\u00abOCDE advierte sobre impacto de la guerra en la econom\u00eda global\u00bb \u2014 TodoLOGISTICA NEWS\" data-secret=\"Y73S4Ex12W\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\n\/*! 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