{"id":65772,"date":"2025-10-30T12:53:54","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T15:53:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/?p=65772"},"modified":"2025-10-30T12:54:02","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T15:54:02","slug":"bm-preve-fuerte-caida-de-precios-de-materias-primas-en-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/bm-preve-fuerte-caida-de-precios-de-materias-primas-en-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"BM prev\u00e9 fuerte ca\u00edda de precios de materias primas en 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>El <strong>Banco Mundial (BM)<\/strong> anticipa que el <strong>precio medio de las materias primas caer\u00e1 un 7% este a\u00f1o<\/strong>, la mayor reducci\u00f3n en seis a\u00f1os. La entidad atribuye este descenso a la <strong>incertidumbre pol\u00edtica global<\/strong>, la <strong>ralentizaci\u00f3n del crecimiento econ\u00f3mico<\/strong> y la <strong>sobreoferta petrolera<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seg\u00fan el <strong>informe de perspectivas para los mercados de materias primas<\/strong>, publicado este mi\u00e9rcoles, se espera una <strong>subida del 7% en 2026<\/strong>, aunque el organismo advierte que los precios podr\u00edan caer a\u00fan m\u00e1s si se mantienen las <strong>tensiones comerciales<\/strong> y la debilidad econ\u00f3mica mundial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>Impacto global y efectos inflacionarios<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>La reducci\u00f3n de precios aliviar\u00e1 parcialmente la <strong>inflaci\u00f3n pospandemia<\/strong>, abaratando cereales y haciendo m\u00e1s accesibles los alimentos en pa\u00edses en desarrollo. Sin embargo, el Banco Mundial subraya que los precios seguir\u00e1n siendo <strong>superiores a los niveles previos a la pandemia<\/strong>, con un <strong>23% m\u00e1s en 2025<\/strong> y un <strong>14% m\u00e1s en 2026<\/strong> respecto a 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El economista jefe del BM, <strong>Indermit Gill<\/strong>, advirti\u00f3 que esta \u201c<strong>tregua inflacionaria no durar\u00e1<\/strong>\u201d y llam\u00f3 a los gobiernos a <strong>sanear sus finanzas p\u00fablicas, fortalecer el entorno empresarial y acelerar la inversi\u00f3n y el comercio internacional<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>Evoluci\u00f3n de sectores clave<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>El organismo proyecta que los <strong>alimentos<\/strong> caer\u00e1n un <strong>6,1% en 2025<\/strong> y un <strong>0,3% en 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Soja:<\/strong> bajar\u00e1 un <strong>12,3 % este a\u00f1o<\/strong>, impulsada por una producci\u00f3n r\u00e9cord, y repuntar\u00e1 <strong>1,2% en 2026<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Caf\u00e9 y cacao:<\/strong> tras subas del <strong>47,7% y 9,1 %<\/strong> este a\u00f1o, caer\u00e1n <strong>12,7% y 6,2%<\/strong> el pr\u00f3ximo por mejora en la oferta.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Fertilizantes:<\/strong> subir\u00e1n <strong>21% en 2025<\/strong> antes de abaratarse <strong>5% en 2026<\/strong>, lo que afectar\u00e1 los m\u00e1rgenes agr\u00edcolas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3>Energ\u00eda y metales preciosos<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Debido al <strong>estancamiento del consumo chino<\/strong> y al <strong>crecimiento del parque h\u00edbrido y el\u00e9ctrico<\/strong>, los precios de la <strong>energ\u00eda<\/strong> caer\u00e1n <strong>12% en 2025<\/strong> y <strong>10% adicionales en 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En contraste, el <strong>oro<\/strong>, considerado refugio en tiempos de incertidumbre, cerrar\u00e1 2025 con un aumento del <strong>42%<\/strong>, seguido de un nuevo alza del <strong>5% en 2026<\/strong>, situ\u00e1ndose casi al doble del promedio registrado entre 2015 y 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>Perspectiva general<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>El informe del Banco Mundial refleja un escenario mixto: <strong>descenso de precios energ\u00e9ticos y agr\u00edcolas<\/strong>, pero <strong>fortaleza en los metales preciosos<\/strong>, en un contexto global dominado por la incertidumbre y la necesidad de pol\u00edticas fiscales prudentes que sostengan la estabilidad y la inversi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>TodologisticaNEWS: Las principales noticias sobre puertos, log\u00edstica, transporte y comercio exterior<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"El Banco Mundial (BM) anticipa que el precio medio de las materias primas caer\u00e1 un...","protected":false},"author":957,"featured_media":65799,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"episode_type":"audio","audio_file":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","filesize_raw":""},"categories":[10276],"tags":[4289,5123,214,100,12557,145],"yst_prominent_words":[791,935,2837,829,828,4258,933,7052,4334,2794,4030,4021,830,961,4031,3230],"series":[],"episode_featured_image":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Banner_Materia-prima_30-10-2025.jpg","episode_player_image":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/LOGO-PODCAST.jpeg","download_link":"","player_link":"","audio_player":false,"episode_data":{"playerMode":"dark","subscribeUrls":{"apple_podcasts":{"key":"apple_podcasts","url":"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/uy\/podcast\/todologistica\/id1515118482","label":"Apple 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