{"id":65043,"date":"2025-09-30T10:05:51","date_gmt":"2025-09-30T13:05:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/?p=65043"},"modified":"2025-09-30T10:06:04","modified_gmt":"2025-09-30T13:06:04","slug":"comercio-internacional-de-cereales-abundancia-y-riesgos-logisticos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/comercio-internacional-de-cereales-abundancia-y-riesgos-logisticos\/","title":{"rendered":"Comercio internacional de cereales: abundancia y riesgos log\u00edsticos"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>El comercio internacional de cereales atraviesa un momento de abundancia, marcado por cosechas r\u00e9cord y precios a la baja. Sin embargo, la log\u00edstica global no pierde de vista factores geopol\u00edticos que pueden alterar r\u00e1pidamente el flujo de mercanc\u00edas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>Producci\u00f3n r\u00e9cord y precios contenidos<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>El Departamento de Agricultura de Estados Unidos (USDA) proyecta para la campa\u00f1a 2025-2026 una producci\u00f3n mundial de 2.930 millones de toneladas de cereales, un alza del 2,7%. El trigo alcanzar\u00e1 816 millones de toneladas, mientras que el ma\u00edz se mantendr\u00e1 en 1.288 millones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La abundancia de grano mantiene precios contenidos. En Espa\u00f1a, los valores mayoristas de trigo blando, ma\u00edz y cebada cayeron hasta un 1,4% en septiembre. En t\u00e9rminos anuales, el trigo se abarat\u00f3 un 12,5%, el ma\u00edz un 5,4% y la cebada m\u00e1s de un 13%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>Factores log\u00edsticos en Europa y Am\u00e9rica<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>En Europa, la depreciaci\u00f3n del euro frente al d\u00f3lar encarece importaciones extracomunitarias y genera incertidumbre en contratos de transporte. La subida del petr\u00f3leo tambi\u00e9n eleva los costos de fletes y seguros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A esto se suma la inestabilidad en el mar Negro, corredor clave para las exportaciones de Ucrania y Rusia. Las tensiones navales en la zona han elevado la volatilidad y obligan a navieras y aseguradoras a ajustar tarifas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En Am\u00e9rica, Argentina aceler\u00f3 embarques tras suspender de forma temporal impuestos a la exportaci\u00f3n, evidenciando su capacidad de influir en el abastecimiento regional y global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>Implicancias para la log\u00edstica global<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>La mayor disponibilidad de cereal asegura carga para buques, trenes y camiones, consolidando flujos log\u00edsticos. No obstante, la volatilidad cambiaria, el precio del petr\u00f3leo y las tensiones geopol\u00edticas limitan la previsibilidad que demandan los operadores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A corto plazo, el escenario garantiza volumen y disponibilidad. El reto ser\u00e1 sostener la fluidez de los corredores comerciales frente a riesgos externos que pueden transformar el panorama en cuesti\u00f3n de d\u00edas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>TodologisticaNEWS: Las principales noticias sobre puertos, log\u00edstica, transporte y comercio exterior<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"El comercio internacional de cereales atraviesa un momento de abundancia, marcado por cosechas r\u00e9cord y...","protected":false},"author":957,"featured_media":65057,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"episode_type":"audio","audio_file":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","filesize_raw":""},"categories":[10276],"tags":[11671,214,100,145,139],"yst_prominent_words":[925,1676,6745,700,1972,1279,6055,4334,656,650,5208,961,1016,3837,790],"series":[],"episode_featured_image":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Banner_Agricultura_30-09-2025.jpg","episode_player_image":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/LOGO-PODCAST.jpeg","download_link":"","player_link":"","audio_player":false,"episode_data":{"playerMode":"dark","subscribeUrls":{"apple_podcasts":{"key":"apple_podcasts","url":"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/uy\/podcast\/todologistica\/id1515118482","label":"Apple Podcasts","class":"apple_podcasts","icon":"apple-podcasts.png"},"google_podcasts":{"key":"google_podcasts","url":"","label":"Google Podcasts","class":"google_podcasts","icon":"google-podcasts.png"},"spotify":{"key":"spotify","url":"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/show\/10D0EeKwuNi9BrB6KSt4px?si=Tn0hRTGJQwW6HqtWKotEZg","label":"Spotify","class":"spotify","icon":"spotify.png"},"stitcher":{"key":"stitcher","url":"","label":"Stitcher","class":"stitcher","icon":"stitcher.png"},"ivoox":{"key":"ivoox","url":"","label":"iVoox","class":"ivoox","icon":"ivoox.png"}},"rssFeedUrl":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/feed\/podcast\/todologistica","embedCode":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"0raB7Psv55\"><a href=\"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/comercio-internacional-de-cereales-abundancia-y-riesgos-logisticos\/\">Comercio internacional de cereales: abundancia y riesgos log\u00edsticos<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/comercio-internacional-de-cereales-abundancia-y-riesgos-logisticos\/embed\/#?secret=0raB7Psv55\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" title=\"\u00abComercio internacional de cereales: abundancia y riesgos log\u00edsticos\u00bb \u2014 TodoLOGISTICA NEWS\" data-secret=\"0raB7Psv55\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\n\/*! 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