{"id":64066,"date":"2025-08-23T00:06:17","date_gmt":"2025-08-23T03:06:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/?p=64066"},"modified":"2025-08-23T00:06:23","modified_gmt":"2025-08-23T03:06:23","slug":"uip-advierte-impacto-de-un-tlc-entre-paraguay-y-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/uip-advierte-impacto-de-un-tlc-entre-paraguay-y-china\/","title":{"rendered":"UIP advierte impacto de un TLC entre Paraguay y China"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>El Centro de Estudios Econ\u00f3micos (CEE) de la Uni\u00f3n Industrial Paraguaya (UIP) present\u00f3 un an\u00e1lisis sobre los efectos de una eventual apertura comercial con China Continental, acompa\u00f1ada de un Tratado de Libre Comercio (TLC).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4>Beneficios potenciales<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>El estudio reconoce que Paraguay podr\u00eda obtener ventajas como mejores precios de exportaci\u00f3n de soja (USD 202 millones anuales), un ahorro en importaciones (USD 220\u2013250 millones) y acceso a obras de infraestructura con financiamiento reembolsable por USD 232 millones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4>Riesgos econ\u00f3micos y sociales<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Sin embargo, al ponderar costos y beneficios, el CEE concluye que el saldo neto ser\u00eda negativo en torno a USD 592 millones anuales. Entre los factores m\u00e1s relevantes se mencionan:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>P\u00e9rdida del mercado taiwan\u00e9s para exportaciones (\u2013USD 299 millones al 2026).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Interrupci\u00f3n de cooperaci\u00f3n en becas, cr\u00e9ditos y donaciones de Taiw\u00e1n (\u2013USD 225 millones).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Menor recaudaci\u00f3n fiscal por desarme arancelario (\u2013USD 220\u2013250 millones).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Impacto en sectores industriales sensibles, con riesgo de cierre de plantas y hasta 11.500 empleos directos afectados en el primer a\u00f1o (\u2013USD 428 millones).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEsta asimetr\u00eda plantea un patr\u00f3n preocupante de corto y mediano plazo, donde las ganancias se concentrar\u00edan en grandes exportadores de soja y carne, mientras que los costos recaer\u00edan sobre trabajadores y finanzas p\u00fablicas\u201d, advirti\u00f3 la UIP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4>Alternativas con Taiw\u00e1n<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>El informe se\u00f1ala que fortalecer la relaci\u00f3n con Taiw\u00e1n traer\u00eda mayores beneficios estructurales, como la formaci\u00f3n de capital humano mediante la Universidad Polit\u00e9cnica Taiw\u00e1n-Paraguay, la instalaci\u00f3n de industrias con transferencia tecnol\u00f3gica y la atracci\u00f3n de inversiones en sectores de alto valor agregado, como energ\u00edas limpias, innovaci\u00f3n e infraestructura.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El an\u00e1lisis t\u00e9cnico de la UIP busca as\u00ed advertir que cualquier decisi\u00f3n debe considerar no solo los beneficios comerciales inmediatos, sino tambi\u00e9n las consecuencias productivas, sociales y geopol\u00edticas para Paraguay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>TodologisticaNEWS: Las principales noticias sobre puertos, log\u00edstica, transporte y comercio exterior<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"El Centro de Estudios Econ\u00f3micos (CEE) de la Uni\u00f3n Industrial Paraguaya (UIP) present\u00f3 un an\u00e1lisis...","protected":false},"author":957,"featured_media":64082,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"episode_type":"audio","audio_file":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","filesize_raw":""},"categories":[75],"tags":[470,214,258,100,145,231,9877],"yst_prominent_words":[2111,5509,3031,700,1958,1557,2883,722,2215,1518,3121,1387],"series":[],"episode_featured_image":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Banner_Economia_22-08-2025.jpg","episode_player_image":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/LOGO-PODCAST.jpeg","download_link":"","player_link":"","audio_player":false,"episode_data":{"playerMode":"dark","subscribeUrls":{"apple_podcasts":{"key":"apple_podcasts","url":"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/uy\/podcast\/todologistica\/id1515118482","label":"Apple Podcasts","class":"apple_podcasts","icon":"apple-podcasts.png"},"google_podcasts":{"key":"google_podcasts","url":"","label":"Google Podcasts","class":"google_podcasts","icon":"google-podcasts.png"},"spotify":{"key":"spotify","url":"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/show\/10D0EeKwuNi9BrB6KSt4px?si=Tn0hRTGJQwW6HqtWKotEZg","label":"Spotify","class":"spotify","icon":"spotify.png"},"stitcher":{"key":"stitcher","url":"","label":"Stitcher","class":"stitcher","icon":"stitcher.png"},"ivoox":{"key":"ivoox","url":"","label":"iVoox","class":"ivoox","icon":"ivoox.png"}},"rssFeedUrl":"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/feed\/podcast\/todologistica","embedCode":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"9OsTE9U9o0\"><a href=\"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/uip-advierte-impacto-de-un-tlc-entre-paraguay-y-china\/\">UIP advierte impacto de un TLC entre Paraguay y China<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/todologisticanews.com\/site\/uip-advierte-impacto-de-un-tlc-entre-paraguay-y-china\/embed\/#?secret=9OsTE9U9o0\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" title=\"\u00abUIP advierte impacto de un TLC entre Paraguay y China\u00bb \u2014 TodoLOGISTICA NEWS\" data-secret=\"9OsTE9U9o0\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\n\/*! 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